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Fortunately for her, she is performing very well amongst Hispanic voters. It helped Hobbs slightly widen her lead, inching the gap between candidates to 1.6 percentage points, before Maricopa County's latest results tempered that. The White voters have mostly backed Republicans in the past though Kari Lake appears to be struggling amongst these groups of voters. Send us an email. Brett Foto and his fiancee were vacationing in Phoenix last fall when they heard about a rally nearby for Kari Lake, then running for governor of Arizona. A California-based law firm has accused Arizona Gov. The race remained too close to call. Katie Hobbs needs a 6% swing from historic averages to win the election, and Kari Lake needs to keep the losses below that. "Spirits on Team Hobbs are high and we're going to stay the course, be patient and let our local electionofficials do their jobs without fear or interference," Hobbs said in a video posted on social media Saturday night. Libertarian, Marc Victor, is at 6%, with 6% still undecided. A major new poll shows a significant long-term surge in support for abortion rights across America, with strong . 28% say they will vote in-person on Election Day. The election has been predicted to be a close one and as of now, it may still be considered to be a toss-up. The statewide total is about 160,000, according to statistics posted by the Arizona Secretary of State's Office. The most up-to-date statistics were revealed by opinion poll analysis website FiveThirtyEight on November 4, which has been creating aggregate polls with data from various surveys. Darn it, we've got to start bringing this up.". Voters in Arizona are electing one member to the U.S. Senate. Both Lake and Hobbs are highly backed by the respective Republican and Democrat voters. This is the most important county in the state, and maybe the country. Gov. "Our elected officials tell us if we dare bring it up we are conspiracy theorists, we are election deniers. Former President Donald Trump embraces Republican candidate for governor Kari Lake at a "Save America" rally in support of GOP candidates in Prescott Valley, Ariz., July 22, 2022. Why the AP hasn't called the Arizona governor's race, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Meanwhile, Lake suggested the crime had been staged. Kari Lake leads by 10-15% in the most critical Independent voter group. She can't afford to have another round of returns on this level;otherwise, it will make it incredibly difficult to come back.". Lake and Hobbs are both hoping to replace outgoing GOP Governor Doug Ducey in a race that has become one of the most hotly contested seats across the country. Among registered Arizona voters, Kelly leads Masters for points, 49 percent to 45 percent. 0:30 Update: Democrat Katie Hobbs has defeated Republican Kari Lake, becoming Arizona's next governor. DC_Draino (@DC_Draino) February 27, 2023 The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.Incumbent one-term independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema was elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50% of the vote, succeeding the retiring Jeff Flake.Sinema left the Democratic Party in December 2022, but remained in the Democratic caucus. Prior to Sunday's big ballot update in Maricopa County, Lake needed to win 56% of statewide ballots left outstanding. A Co/efficient poll of 1,111 likely voters from October 20 to 21 gave Lake a 4-point lead over her opponent, with 49 percent of respondents planning to vote for her, while 45 percent said they would vote for Hobbs. The Democrat's lead gradually narrowed, but she kept it throughout the year until October 11, when Lake become the frontrunner, albeit narrowly. Pima County, Arizona's second largest and home to Tucson, added about 12,000 votes to its totals, which Hobbs won 60% to Lake's 40%. Microsoft Stock Forecast 2023: Is MSFT a Safe Bet in 2023? A new poll from OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) focusing on the potential Republican candidates for Arizona's 2024 primary election found that voters favor former President Donald Trump or Florida Governor Ron DeSantis by a wide margin as their choice for president. Explore the 2022 governor elections results. Hobbs win over Republican Kari Lake is a major victory for democratic norms and helps keep a formidable MAGA politician from ascending to an influential office. 2022 Governor Election Results > Arizona Arizona Governor Polls Gov. A letter sent Friday from the governor's office to the State Bar of Arizona follows the disclosure on Wednesday of . Woodbois Stock Forecast: Is WBI a Worthy Penny Stock to Buy for Long Term? Kari Lake walks to the podium at a campaign rally attended by former U.S. President Donald Trump at Legacy Sports USA on October 9, 2022 in Mesa, Arizona. By Zeeshan Aleem, MSNBC Opinion Writer/Editor. The poll has a margin of error of 3.09 percentage points. WINNER Senator Mark Kelly. Arizona's election of a new governor is one of the most high-profile races in the country and one of the few left to be called. Newsweek reached out to campaign staff for both candidates for comment on the various polls' findings. Arizona Gov. Hobbs' advantage also was padded throughout the day by favorable returnsin Pima and Coconino counties. The race was still too close to call, meaning the suspense will continue. Lake's rival in the race to win the governor's position, Arizona's Secretary of State Hobbs, worked as a social worker for many years. FILE - Democratic gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs speaks on the set of "Arizona Horizon" in Phoenix, Oct. 18, 2022. November 11, 2022: Hobbs led with 50.4% of the vote to Lake's 49.6%. From the latest figures released by the Arizona Secretary of State. August 6, 2024. All rights reserved. Results Last Updated: Feb 28, 2023. Sep 04 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Oct 02 Oct 09 Oct 16 Oct 23 Oct 30 Nov 06 . (Video screenshot) (THE LIBERTY DAILY) - Even as the vast majority of conservatives in the nation have given up on exposing the massive, widespread voter fraud that stole the 2020 presidential elections as well as multiple lower elections in the 2022 cycle . Feb. 27, 2023, 3:00 AM PST. It included 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of 4.2%. PHOENIX - A new FOX 10 InsiderAdvantage poll shows the race for Governor and U.S. Senate is coming down to the wire. 2022 Arizona Governor Exit Poll. ABC15 elections expert Garrett Archer posted the polling data Monday. Democrat Katie Hobbs held a slim lead over Republican challenger Kari Lake on Sunday asthe number of ballots left to count shrinks, making a path to victory for Lake more difficult. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. The2022 Arizona gubernatorial electionwill take place on November 8, 2022, between former news Anchor Kari Lake of the Republican Party and current Secretary of State, Katie Hobbs of the Democratic Party. The nonpartisan Cook Political. Arizona races senate house governor sec. Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and a slew of other election officials, mayors, judges, city councilman, and county supervisors in the state of receiving bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. OH. The other factors may not impact the voters as much as these three factors may impact. It indicates that Former President Trumps strong support for Lake is a doubtful advantage in attracting some voters and at the same time repelling others. As of Monday night, Hobbs. Live 2022 Arizona election results and maps by county and district. The polls. Katie Hobbs, Arizona's Democratic secretary of state, has defeated Kari Lake, a Trump-endorsed former TV anchor in the Arizona governor's race, CBS News projects. LUCID Stock Forecast 2023: LCID Is In A Free Fall, Time to Buy the Dip? Update 11/8/22 2:21 a.m. The winner of this primary will be the Republican Party's nominee for governor this November. While Lake won the day in Maricopa County, her path to victory got a bit more difficult statewide as the number of votes left to count shrunk, said GOP pollsterPaul Bentz, of the Phoenix firm HighGround. For most of the race, Hobbs, Arizonas secretary of state, held a narrow lead in the polls, but in the final stretches Lake moved slightly ahead. Internal Republican polling shows a statistical tie between gubernatorial candidates Kari Lake, the former news anchor, and Karrin Taylor Robson, the former university regent and developer, but those numbers separate greatly when those polled were informed that Donald Trump backs Lake's candidacy. Hobbs win over Republican Kari Lake is a major victory for democratic norms. Reach reporter Stacey Barchenger at stacey.barchenger@arizonarepublic.com or 480-416-5669. There has been much speculation about which candidate those types of ballots might favor, as voters' behavior has shifted in the relatively short time frame of the last two election cycles. Democrat Katie Hobbs has been elected governor of Arizona, NBC News projects. She worked at Fox between 1999 and 2021. Registered Voters 4,709,490 Senate Voters in Arizona are electing one member to the U.S. Senate. But it's not just rural versus urban geography that counts in the purple state's election math equation. This dental device was sold to fix patients' jaws. But the poll found that 15% of self-identifying Republicans plan on voting for Kelly. Hobbs' campaign communications director Sarah Robinson told Newsweek: "Every poll shows that this race is a dead heat. Katie Hobbs wins Arizona governor election in 2022 midterms Opinion Katie Hobbs wins Arizona election and keeps a formidable MAGA politician at bay Hobbs' win over Republican Kari Lake is. Hobbs has been ahead of Kari Lake in most of the polls released since the last week of September 2022. Lake has gone on a tour of national and conservative media appearances saying she was confident she would win, drafting a boost from Election Day votes. African Americans and Asians make up 9% of the population. Lawsuits claim it wrecked their teeth. According to the latest data orbital poll, 10-15% of republicans are voting for Katie Hobbs, According to the latest Data Orbital Poll, Kari Lake leads by 6% among Men while trailing by 1% among Women. 11, 2022 at. Her Democratic rival, Katie Hobbs, sits on 46.4 percent, before polling starts on Tuesday. Support local journalism. Powered and implemented byFactSet Digital Solutions. Reach reporter Stacey Barchenger at stacey.barchenger@arizonarepublic.com or 480-416-5669. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizona's secretary of state. Given the above trends, Kari Lake is well positioned to win the race by about 4-5 points. The Democratic Party Candidate Katie Hobbs, 52, was a social worker until 2010 before being elected to the Arizona House of Representatives as a Democrat 2010. The Republican also appeared to make light of the attack on October 28 by a hammer-wielding intruder against Democrat Speaker Nancy Pelosi's husband, Paul, which left the 82-year-old hospitalized with a fractured skull. In the race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly and Republican challenger Blake Masters are virtually tied. However, the last two Kari Lake Polls have favored Kari Lake and have shown Lake leading by 3% over Katie Hobbs. A 36-year-old man was later arrested on a single count of third-degree burglary, and NBC reported there did not appear to be evidence that the break-in was politically motivated. Phoenix Police Department have confirmed their own officers are investigating, according to Fox News. Read more about the methodology. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? 2022 Arizona Governor Elections Predictions. The witness Jacqueline Breger, an insurance agent in Arizona, presented compelling testimony and evidence to the Arizona Joint Elections Committee on February 23, 2023, regarding massive corruption and collusion between appointed government officials, and the Sinaloa Cartels. Discussion in 'General Chat' started by just1morething, Feb 26, 2023 at 4:16 AM. After the update, she needed to win more than 58%. Tags Poll Data Kari Lake George Khalaf Politics Kari Lake is likely to win the 2022 Arizona Gubernatorial Election. During a recent hearing on the security of Arizona elections, the Arizona Senate heard from a woman named Jacqueline Breger. If this is true, I can't believe the corruption in our elections. Hobbs led Lake by just over 26,000 votes on Sunday night, with a slim 1 percentage point gap between the two. Republican registrations lead Democrats by 3.5% but 1 in 3 voters are registered as Independent. The results as of Saturday offered a sign this year could be more like 2018, said Tony Cani,a Democratic consultant who worked on Biden's successful 2020 campaign. Watch Live: Closing arguments underway in double murder trial of Alex Murdaugh, Top McCarthy aide, House Oversight chair each met with Ashli Babbitt's mother, Garland testifies before Senate panel amid ongoing special counsel probes, Ex-Georgia star Jalen Carter was racing in deadly crash, arrest warrants allege, Fiery train crash in Greece kills dozens, many of them students. In this field, Kari Lake has an advantage. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Is Kari Lake the true successor to Donald Trump? Overall, 29 of the 36 incumbent governors up in 2022 are eligible to seek reelection, including 16 Republicans, who also stand to benefit from an incumbency boost. In Georgia, 604 likely voters were surveyed from Oct. 24 to Oct. 27. 1894 shipwreck found in Lake Huron, confirming "powerful, tragic story", Bipartisan Senate group unveils rail safety bill in response to Ohio derailment, What to know about Shigella bacteria as drug-resistant strain spreads. As of April 2022, the state has 4.29 Million Registered Voters. Mario Tama/Getty Images Hobbs, Arizona's secretary of state and a former lawmaker, now leads Kari Lake, the Republican nominee and former television news anchor, by more than 34,000 votes, such a slight change the race was still separated by1.4 percentage points. 63% of the population lives in Maricopa County which is home to Phoenix and other cities like Scottsdale, Mesa, and Tempe. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Still waiting:Why the AP hasn't called the Arizona governor's race. As per the latest 2020 Census figures, Whites alone make up for 53% of the States population while Hispanics make up 32% of the States population. Towery says Masters is pulling a larger share of self-identifying Independent voters. It included 550 likely. Pollster, Matt Towery, believes it may have been an anomaly. PayPal Stock Forecast 2023: PYPL 12 Months Price Target Lowered to $100.6. Arizona Republican candidate gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake and GOP senatorial candidate Blake Masters wave to supporters at the conclusion of a campaign event on August 1, 2022, in Phoenix. 2022 Arizona Governor Exit Poll. Yet as the remaining number of ballots left to count dwindles, Lake's path to surpassing Hobbs' statewide advantage becomes more difficult though not impossible. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Kari Lake: Taunts Maricopa County election officials after stoking fears on mail-in ballots, "We've seen this time and time again, and nothing's being done," Lake told Fox News' Tucker Carlson on Friday. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Lake (R) +4.0. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. In Maricopa County, about 30% of voting locations had issues on Election Day, with ballots printed on-site not dark enough for tabulators to read. Read the latest here. Follow along live as the final votes are counted. They've rigged the last 2 elections and even shut down Maricopa machines right in front of your faces in 2022. 2 Lots of governors will be. This latest InsiderAdvantage poll was conducted on November 2, via land-line, cell phone and text. Previously, he worked at Vox, HuffPost and Politico, and he has also been published in, among other places, The New York Times, The Atlantic, The Nation, and The Intercept. 3. Indicates a polling average for this poll type Candidate is an incumbent Partisan types Democratic-funded Republican-funded Other party-funded Campaign. In September, 15 percent of Arizona voters said they were still undecided, would vote for another candidate or would not vote in the Senate race but that share was down to 9 percent in the new. In Maricopa County's latest report, Lakecarried 52% of those votes to Hobbs' 48%, enough to give Lake a boost but not close Hobbs' lead. How to Vote in Arizona's Upcoming 2022 Election Most Arizonans vote by mail, but you can also vote early in person without an excuse. Midterm Elections. November 5, 2024. A Fox News poll, conducted on November 2, put Lake ahead by 3 percentage points, with 51 percent compared to Hobbs' 48 percent. 0 Days to Election (2016 to 2020) Polls Underestimated GOP by 0.5. Katie Hobbs grows lead over Kari Lake in latest returns from Arizona governor's race. Lake won the majority of those, over 54%, eating into Hobbs' lead in the county and cutting it from about 57,000 votes to 48,500. Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Most Arizonans vote by mail, but you can also vote early in person without an excuse. With just days to go before voters head to the polls, Republican Kari Lake is leading Democrat Katie Hobbs by 3 percentage points. 2022 Arizona Election Results Population 7,174,064 Est. Arizona Election Results 2022: Live Map Arizona Election Results Last updated:Dec. 6, 202210:34 p.m.EST We're tracking election results in Arizona follow returns for the House, the Senate, the governor's race and ballot measures.. 02/25/2023 - 6:47 am | View Website; Arizona election fraud has finally been uncovered When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Including Her Own . Both candidates urged their supportersto stay patient as the vote counting continues, though Lake also has cast doubt on the length of the process and elections procedures. OFFERS Kingman Smart Buyer 928 Media Lab Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. When Maricopa County officials updated theresults on Saturday night, adding nearly 85,000 votes in the governor's race, it consisted mostly of ballots dropped off by voters on Election Day. The website says that, on May 16, it was Hobbs who was out in front, polling 51.8 percent compared to Lake's 46.8 percent. She was a Republican until 2006 before switching to being an Independent in 2006, registered as a Democrat in 2008, and returned to the Republican party again in 2012. Kari Lake vs Katie Hobbs, Strengths and Weakness by Demography. On Social media, her net rating is at -65%, and Katie Hobbs who has been pilloried by Kari Lake is at -56.9%. 2. A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. Search titles only; Posted by Member: . Incumbent Republican governor Doug Ducey was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third consecutive term. The 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election occurred on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arizona concurrently with other federal and state elections. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. Citizens United is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. (THE LIBERTY DAILY) - Even as the vast majority of conservatives in the nation have given up on exposing the massive, widespread voter fraud that stole the 2020 presidential elections as well as . Lake won 70% of Election Day votes statewide this year. PHOENIX - Arizona gubernatorial candidate Karrin Taylor Robson and U.S. Senate hopeful Jim Lamon are within single digits of the front-runners in their Republican primary races, according to. . The six major factors are: The top three factors will play a key role of the above six factors. She is a smart, well liked, and sensible person that would help with . avg. Follow her on Twitter@sbarchenger. PHOENIX, ARIZONA - FEBRUARY 13: Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs speaks during the Super Bowl LVII Host Committee Handoff Press Conference at Phoenix Convention Center on February 13, 2023 in Phoenix . The key issues among the voters of Arizona are: Abortion has been the central theme of the Katie Hobbs campaign but more than that the issues of the Economy, rising inflation, immigration, and border control are more matters of concern for the Arizona voters. The state's Republican gubernatorial nominee is ahead of her Democrat rival, Katie Hobbs. Kari Lake vs Katie Hobbs, Strengths and Weakness by Issue, Read about other Popular Mid-Term Elections. Lake has maintained those ballots would swing heavily in her favor, but Saturday's bellwether update appeared to temper those claims. According to projections by The Arizona Republic, which match Bentz's math, Lake needs 56% of the remaining votes to win. Why is Kari Lake not running away with a landslide, just like Governor Ducey? to Election. Election coverage: Live news updates | Arizona election results. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Ironically, the Hispanic population of Arizona grew at a faster pace under Donald Trump than Barack Obama and it appears now that Hispanic voters will take Kari Lake over the finishing line. Lake inaccurately claimed that Hobbs was a "twice-convicted racist," apparently in reference to lawsuits brought against the Arizona State Senate, not Hobbs personally. The polls indicated that more independents are now backing Kari lake thus Katie Hobbs is failing to attract the section of voters who hold key to the upcoming Arizona Governor election. Voters in Rural Arizona are more likely to support Kari Lake while in the Urban area both enjoy almost equal support. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Zeeshan Aleem is a writer and editor for MSNBC Daily. DraftKings Stock Forecast 2023: Will DKNG Rise Above $30? Ballot returns so far from both counties have generally favored Hobbs, who has maintained the lead since Tuesday, though Lake significantly narrowed that gap as day-of election votes were counted. "We need to get in there and restore faith in our elections, we can't be the laughingstock of elections anymore here in Arizona," she told Bartiromo. PSNY Stock Forecast: PSNY To Report Its Q4 This Week, Will the Stock Price Surge? If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. Hobbs has been elected Arizona governor, defeating Kari Lake, an ally of Donald Trump who falsely claimed the 2020 election was rigged and refused to say she would accept the results of her race this year. The incident came after Hobbs' own election headquarters in Arizona was the target of a break-in, with the burglary on October 25 sparking Watergate comparisons. Most of those are from counties that house Arizona's population centers, including Tucson in Pima County and Phoenix in Maricopa County. Immigration and border security is influencing factors among 33% of the respondents. Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win the county since 1948, helping him win the state. Follow us @WNDNews The recent survey by Susquehanna Polling and Research found that six factors were going to influence the voting pattern in the upcoming Arizona Governor election. What Do the Latest Kari Lake Polls Mean For Katie Hobbs? Likewise, a poll of Republicans in Oklahoma also found . It included 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of 4.2%. Katie Hobbs leads among voters under the age of 45 while Kari Lake leads among voters older than 45, Kari Lake leads in Maricopa, a County that usually determines the eventual winner. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. 2022 U.S. Arizona's former GOP Attorney General Mark Brnovich is facing an investigation into "likely unethical behavior" after he withheld his own staff's findings that refuted claims of fraud in the 2020. 2023 www.azcentral.com. updated on November 9, 2022. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections . Hobbs win is a relief for democracy watchers. United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories. Ms. Lake, a. All Rights Reserved. She has made border security, election reform and a "tough love" homelessness policy central to her campaign. PHOENIX Arizona's Democratic governor, Katie Hobbs, is seeking a review of what her office alleges was "likely unethical conduct" by the state's former attorney general, Mark Brnovich. Trump has publicly backed Lake, writing on Truth Social: "Arizona finally has a chance to have a GREAT Governor. All rights reserved. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Joe Bidens approval rating in the state is 41% while only 32% of the Arizonians are happy with the working of the incumbent Governor Doug Ducey. New Poll Finds Nearly 70 Percent of Arizona GOP Voters Prefer Donald Trump or . The Gateway Pundit reported that Tempe Police seized over 30 million lethal doses of fentanyl. A new batch of nearly 100,000 votes released in Arizona's most populous county Sunday made Republican Kari Lake's path to winning an intensely-watched governor race more difficult. Governor, Arizona, 2022 AVG. ( Natural News ) A law firm based in California has alleged, without yet offering conclusive evidence, that Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and several other election officials, judges, mayors, city councilmen, and county supervisors in the state received bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. In over a decade, the race for the office of Arizonas Governornor for the first time became competitive as in the last few elections, the Republicans have had an easy run. The race remained too close to call. He says in this latest poll, Lake is leading among self-identifying Independents by roughly 7 points. While it is true that Kari Lake is underperforming past GOP candidates. This gives the Democratic a small bump of about 2%. More details here. Kari Lake was endorsed by former President Donald Trump before the Republican Primary. Roughly 1% of voters are either undecided or have no opinion. 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Like governor Ducey equal support 2 % that would help with this material may impact! Three territories factors will play a key role of the above six factors state and! Free Fall, Time to Buy the Dip for MSNBC Daily Masters is pulling a larger of! Day by favorable returnsin Pima and Coconino counties and border security is influencing factors among 33 % statewide... A `` tough love '' homelessness Policy central to her campaign statewide this year included 550 likely voters surveyed... Will be the Republican Party close one and as of now, it have... The polling data Monday Democratic nominee to win County which is home to phoenix and other cities Scottsdale! Waiting: why the AP has n't called the Arizona Republic, which match Bentz 's,... Data Kari Lake is underperforming past GOP candidates an advantage 4,709,490 Senate voters Arizona. Insideradvantage poll was conducted on November 8, 2022: Hobbs led with 50.4 % of the votes. Support for abortion rights across America, with strong Arizona elections, the state % still undecided before! It included 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of %!
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